Original title: 11 days ahead of schedule, with large passenger volume! Spring Festival transportation in 2020 presents these four characteristics
4hw.com.cn learned from CAAC that the passenger traffic volume of civil aviation in 2020 will reach a new record, with a year-on-year increase of about 8.4%. During the peak period, the daily guaranteed flight volume of civil aviation will be more than 16000, with the growth rate ranking the first among all transportation modes. According to the analysis, the civil aviation spring transportation market will present four characteristics in 2020.
Yu Biao, director of the transportation department of CAAC: first, all kinds of passenger trips overlap before the festival, and the peak passenger flow is outstanding. Compared with the spring transportation in 2019, the spring transportation in 2020 is 11 days ahead of last year. In the early stage of the Spring Festival transportation, there will be a peak of "migrant workers", "students" and "family visits". Some peak days are prone to ticket shortage.
Second, the domestic market is growing faster than the international market. According to the current booking data, the growth rate of the whole market passenger bookings during the Spring Festival transportation in 2020 will increase by 10.9 percentage points year on year. The growth rate of the domestic market far exceeds that of the international market by more than 15 percentage points, and the market of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan shows a sharp decline.
Third, domestic travel trends and hot routes are similar to those in previous years. According to the estimated data so far, domestic routes reach the peak value on January 23 (December 29), and large-scale centralized travel of passengers may occur on January 18 before the festival and January 30, the last day of Spring Festival holiday (the sixth day of the Lunar New Year). In terms of specific routes, the number of passengers booking on Kunming Beijing, Chengdu Shanghai, Nanjing Sanya, Hangzhou Sanya, Wenzhou Shanghai, Zhengzhou Haikou and other routes increased rapidly, and seat sales were relatively tight.
Fourth, the hot destinations of inbound and outbound routes have been switched, with uneven hot and cold. According to the booking data so far, the hot destinations in the international market have been switched, the demand for some inbound and outbound routes has shrunk, and the number of bookings has dropped sharply year on year.
Yu Biao, director general of the transportation department of CAAC: it is estimated that the top three countries in terms of passenger forecast volume of civil aviation outbound destinations in 2020 will be Japan, Thailand and South Korea. The Philippines, Vietnam and Japan are the top three countries in terms of passenger traffic volume growth. In addition, Chinese and French passengers will continue to grow steadily. However, China US and China Australia routes may usher in the first decline in capacity and passenger bookings growth in nearly four years.