The trade war between China and the United States is bound to bring about economic downturn, killing 1000 enemies and damaging 800. So, what will be the impact of the Sino US trade war on ordinary people? But for China, we are not afraid to fight a trade war, and we are determined to accompany them to the end!
What will the 2019 trade war bring to the people?
Trade War refers to the game between countries, so what impact does it bring to the people?
The first is the stock market. The first to bear the brunt is the shareholders' friends. Affected by the Sino US trade war, not only a shares, but also the global stock markets have fallen horribly. On March 23, the Shanghai Stock Index plummeted by 3.39%, and on March 26, it fell by 0.60%. Many investors have just recovered from the slump a year ago and suffered a heavy blow.
The second is prices. Let's take a look at the products that China and the United States have raised tariffs on.
The main commodities that China raises tariffs are agricultural products imported from the United States (such as pork, fresh fruit, wine, etc.), and the proportion of agricultural products in China's CPI is high. Therefore, once the trade war continues, China's price level will certainly rise. At that time, the prices of pork, fruit, nuts, wine, seamless steel pipe and other products imported from the United States will rise significantly.
Third, real estate. If prices continue to rise, then mortgage interest rates will rise with the tide. At present, the house price is at a high level, and it is difficult for the subsequent domestic house price to rise sharply. Although the price of housing in China's second tier city is also frothy, it is blocked by price fixing, loan restriction and restriction, and the real estate bubble can not be broken in the short term. But because of the inventory of three or four city cities, the infrastructure and resources are far less than that of a second tier city. The main force is speculation speculation, and if the trade war lasts for a long time, once these city speculators choose to leave, Open, then the risk of the third and fourth tier cities is much greater than that of the first and second tier cities.
The concrete impact of Sino US trade war on the common people
1、 Soybean
China is the largest buyer of soybeans in the United States, and soybeans are likely to become the first means of China's counterattack. What impact will it have on us?
First of all, soybeans will become more expensive, but the increase is relatively limited. It should be a matter of a few yuan.
Secondly, soybean products will become more expensive, such as & hellip; & hellip; soymilk, soymilk, bean products, spicy strips, Yuba and so on.
The cost of soybean based enterprises will rise.
2、 Airplanes
25% of Boeing's aircraft are sold to China, and China may also use aircraft as a counter measure. What is the impact on us?
It may be that air tickets will become more expensive. After the tariff is raised, airlines may buy more planes from Airbus, which will have an impact on the purchase cost and maintenance cost. Therefore, it is possible to raise the price of air tickets, but the impact is limited. It may be several hundred yuan more expensive than now.
3、 Car
China is an important automobile sales destination of the United States. China may use automobiles as a counter measure. What are the effects in this regard?
First of all, some middle and high-end American brands, such as Ford, Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac, Lincoln, and Chrysler, will become more expensive. Because cars are consumer goods with higher prices, the percentage tariff will be more expensive.
Note that I'm talking about imported cars, not joint venture cars like Changan Ford. Of course, if you don't buy cars of these brands, it doesn't matter.
4、 Other daily products
If the United States intends to raise tariffs in a large amount, it will inevitably lead to export difficulties for many export enterprises, and some exports will be transferred to domestic sales. In this way, there may be a wave of domestic price war, and domestic daily necessities may be cheap.
5、 Employment and wages
If the trade war is protracted and the United States holds the spirit of perseverance, some foreign trade enterprises may not be able to survive and fall. The direct result is that many people are unemployed and looking for jobs, which will have a certain impact on the talent market, and wages will become lower because of oversupply.
Xiaobian believes that since ancient times, there have been no so-called winners in trade wars, and often the result is to hurt the enemy by 1000 and to lose 800. I hope that China and the United States can sit down and talk with each other in a peaceful manner based on the friendly principle of win-win cooperation!