4hw.com.cn: on March 28, the last round of domestic refined oil price adjustment window opened. According to the latest notice of the national development and Reform Commission, China's domestic gasoline price was increased by 170 yuan per ton and diesel price by 165 yuan per ton.
After conversion, No. 89 gasoline rose by 0.13 yuan / L, No. 92 gasoline by 0.13 yuan / L, No. 95 gasoline by 0.14 yuan / L; No. 0 diesel by 0.14 yuan / L, according to the 50L capacity of the general tank, filling a box of No. 92 gasoline will cost 6.5 yuan more.
The price adjustment window of this round of refined oil will open at 24:00 on April 12, and it is estimated that the oil price will be increased by 26 yuan / ton (less than the red line of 50 yuan / ton).
At present, the possibility of oil price increase is relatively large, after all, it is only 24 yuan / ton away from the red line of 50 yuan / ton. And there are still three working days for statistics. As long as the international oil price rises, it is expected that the adjustment range will probably exceed the red line of 50 yuan / ton.
Now the expected adjustment range is gradually reduced. From the highest expected increase of 79 yuan / ton to the current 26 yuan / ton, it can be seen that it is gradually decreasing. As long as it is lower than 50 yuan / ton, it will run aground.
At present, due to the limited adjustment range of gasoline and diesel prices corresponding to the crude oil change rate, there is still a long way to go before the red line of 50 yuan / ton price adjustment. If there is no significant increase in crude oil in the next three days, the retail price increase of gasoline and diesel in this round will be stranded!
If we want the oil price to fall this time, we need to expect the oil price to fall by 76 yuan / ton in the remaining three working days. This is still quite difficult. We need a continuous sharp drop in the international oil price. This possibility is relatively low. We'll see