Original title: Shenzhen second hand housing turnover hit a new high in 3 years intermediary: price concentration at 10 million
4hw.com.cn on December 16, the National Bureau of Statistics announced the housing prices of 70 large and medium-sized cities in November. According to the preliminary calculation, the selling prices of newly built commercial residential buildings in Shenzhen increased by 0.2% month on month, and the selling prices of second-hand residential buildings in Shenzhen rose by 1.4% month on month. From the property market turnover point of view, the number of second-hand housing transactions in Shenzhen has increased significantly, reaching a new high in recent three years.
Shenzhen's house prices rise steadily, second-hand housing turnover reached a record high in November
The reporter came to a real estate agency store in Futian District, Shenzhen. The person in charge here told the reporter that after the new deal, the market was indeed very hot, and the number of houses to see increased significantly, and the speed of house buyers to make decisions was faster than before.
Sun Jiayan, general manager of Futian North District, Meilian property, Shenzhen: the transaction volume of the rigid demand market of the whole market is almost 40% - 50% higher than that of last month, especially for houses with a degree of 80 or 90 square meters, the transaction volume has almost sold all the plates that can be sold before.
Yang Yang, business director of Hainan District, Zhongyuan Real estate, Shenzhen: the price of the house is mainly around 10 million yuan, and the tax and fee reduction will probably be reduced from 1 million yuan to about 400000 yuan now. Many owners will counter price because of this price reduction.
According to the statistics of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Research Center, a total of 8013 second-hand houses were sold in November, up 11.8% month on month and 91.9% year-on-year. This is also the first time since May 2016, the transaction of second-hand housing has exceeded 8000 units. The average transaction price of second-hand housing also showed a small rise, to 55499 yuan / m2.
Xiao Xiaoping, President of Shenzhen shellfish research institute: driven by the policy, the whole trading volume in the first and second weeks may have increased by about 70% compared with that before. The market has reached a very active state, but since the third week, including so far, the market has actually returned to a normal level.
Shenzhen new housing sales partial recovery, developers increase push
At the end of the year, the pressure on the performance of real estate developers increased, accelerating the push into the market. Recently, the sale of some new and second-hand housing prices in Shenzhen is fast, and the volume of new buildings entering the market in some areas has increased.
On November 28th, the merchants Lingxi home in Qianhai opened. According to public information, there are 456 sets of houses available for sale, with an average price of 108000 yuan per square meter. All of them were sold out more than four hours after the opening, attracting nearly 6.3 billion yuan. Yiwan house, also located in Qianhai, has an average price of 102000 yuan per square meter. According to public information, 323 sets were sold on the opening day, 90% of which were sold. The reporter came to the real estate to understand the specific situation.
On November 30 alone, four new projects in Qianhai, Longgang and Guangming District of Shenzhen entered the market, selling nearly 2500 units, and more than 1800 units were sold in total. According to incomplete statistics, there will be 15 new stocks ready to enter the market in December.
In the opening of a number of projects, reporters found that these hot selling projects, most of which are due to the new project price limit, the opening price is lower than the surrounding second-hand house price. At the same time, the opening price is higher than the surrounding second-hand housing project, the volume is very bleak.
Song Ding, deputy director of China urban economic expert committee: there is a big contrast now. In some hot spots, there are obvious areas where the first and second hand are hung upside down. The pattern of 10 people grabbing a suite or 5 people robbing a suite is a pattern. However, in some depressed places, the new market may have a de turnover rate of only 10%. This strong contrast should not be seen in the real estate history of Shenzhen in the past 20 years.
According to the statistics of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Research Center, the approved area of Shenzhen new house pre-sale in November was 83000m2, up 213.10% on a month on month basis, and the push sale area was 813000 square meters, up 131.02% month on month.
In the case of a large increase in supply, the number of new residential units in Shenzhen reached 3196 units in November, up 20.33% month on month; the transaction area was 329700 square meters, up 23.46% month on month. As the filing data will lag behind, it is expected that the new house transaction data in December will continue to rise.
Zheng shulun, managing director of Zhongyuan Real Estate in Shenzhen: there is a limit on the price of new houses. Relatively speaking, the prices of new houses are a bit backward. Therefore, some customers will pursue the backward mentality and rush to the new housing market.
Near the end of the year, developers are now focusing on the performance of the time, so the number of sales in November is twice as much as that in October. At present, Shenzhen's purchasing power is still very strong, so basically, the sales volume of new houses is closely related to the sales volume.
Land auction in Shenzhen
After the adjustment of the standard of ordinary housing, Shenzhen issued the regulation policy of the property market again. On the morning of December 12, the Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of housing and Construction said that Shenzhen had lifted the restrictions on "renting only but not selling" commercial apartments introduced last year.
On July 31, 2018, Shenzhen issued the "Shenzhen four regulations" regulation policy, which stipulates that: commercial apartments built by developers on all kinds of new supply land (including bidding, auction and listing, urban renewal, land return after land acquisition, etc.) are only rented but not sold. It is understood that the cancellation of "rent only, not sell" business apartments has been implemented since November.
Song Ding, deputy director of China urban economic expert committee: originally, if we only rent but not sell it, there is a very large product in the whole urban renewal plate, and it will not be able to effectively enter the circulation link for sale. If the market is liberalized this time, I think the market will be greatly promoted. In Shenzhen, the residential market is relatively limited. One of its major compensations is the compensation of business apartments, which will significantly increase the activity of business apartments.
According to the monitoring data of Zhongyuan Real Estate in Shenzhen, the supply area of business apartments in Shenzhen was 1335100 square meters in 2018, which was 0.4% lower than that in 2017, which was the first time that the growth rate of commercial apartment supply decreased after 2014. By November 2019, the total supply area of business apartments in Shenzhen has reached 1.3918 million square meters, which has exceeded the annual supply level of last year.
Xiao Xiaoping, President of Shenzhen Shell Research Institute: at present, from the perspective of the secondary market or the tertiary market, it has no impact, because at present, Shenzhen still has a relatively sufficient supply of apartments on sale. In fact, it affects the primary market, that is, the land market, because our previous policy stipulates that new projects will be built after that, and the commercial apartments built will only be rented but not sold. If it is cancelled, it will actually have a positive impact on developers' land acquisition, or when they measure the economic indicators of new projects.
Song Ding, deputy director of China urban economic expert committee: rent only but not sale leads to a huge deposit of developer's funds in business apartments. So it is so difficult to sell, and it is a problem for them to withdraw funds. If this policy is cancelled, it means that the developers who have been locked up will quickly form a smooth channel in a short period of time and quickly withdraw funds, which will greatly support its next development and even new projects.
After adjusting the standard of ordinary housing and abolishing the policy of "rent only, not for sale", the government has recently introduced hedging policies to adjust the market expectation of rising house prices in view of land transfer. After the "double restriction and double auction" of 10 billion land auction was cold on November 22, Qianhai land auction was cold again on December 11, and a commercial land auction was lost. The change of land transfer rules makes the market sentiment more and more cautious in Shenzhen, where land resources are scarce.
Managing director of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Real Estate Zheng shulun: the state-owned enterprises that auction land recently will be more brave. Because the state-owned enterprises will be relatively stable in operation, there may be some support for land auction. Of course, there will also be a drop auction. Those developers have a certain amount of land reserve, and they will be more cautious about the whole future market, because the house price is not rising all the time. It belongs to stable development In this case, it may be more careful to take the ground.