Original title: the Ministry of housing and urban rural development will warn ten cities within one month, which cities will be named because of the rising voice?
When the real estate market is coming and many urban land markets are heating up, the voice of policy loosening and house price rising sharply appears again. However, the central government does not sit idly by and ignore the "hot" cities. Instead, it lights up the monitoring stick and gives early warning.
On May 18, according to Xinhua news agency, in order to further implement the main responsibility of cities in regulating the real estate market, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development, on the basis of early warning for six cities on April 19, also gave early warning for Foshan, Suzhou, Dalian and Nanning, which have seen a big increase in the price index of new commercial housing and second-hand housing in the past three months.
This is only two days after the National Bureau of statistics released the "changes in sales prices of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities in April.". The last warning came after the Statistics Bureau released the data in March.
Zhang Bo, chief analyst of anjuke Real Estate Research Institute, said that the Ministry of housing and urban rural development's early warning of the four cities reflected the central government's unswerving goal of "three stabilities" in 2019 and its unswerving demand for the stability of the property market in various cities.
Foshan, Suzhou, Dalian and Nanning were named by the Ministry of housing and urban rural development
Why Foshan, Suzhou, Dalian, Nanning will be named? Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real estate, believes that the cities that have been warned are all cities with obvious rising house prices.
Dalian and Nanning are in the statistical range of 70 large and medium-sized cities. According to the data from the National Bureau of statistics, in April, Dalian's newly-built commercial houses rose by 0.7% month on month and 13.2% year on year, while second-hand houses rose by 0.8% month on month and 9.1% year on year. Nanning's newly-built houses rose 0.9% month on month and 11.5% year on year; Nanning's second-hand houses rose 1.4% month on month and 11.7% year on year.
Although Suzhou and Foshan are not in the statistical range of 70 large and medium-sized cities, Suzhou has made the first shot in this round of land recovery, and created the Diwang project, which is not without attracting people's attention. Zhang Bo said that in these cities, not only the housing prices rose significantly, but also the land market heat showed that the premium rate increased significantly month on month.
On April 29, the auction result of Suyuan tugai (2019) 02 plot in Suzhou park was announced. CNOOC real estate won the plot with a total price of 3.56 billion yuan, with a floor price of 30287 yuan / m2, creating a new high of land price in Suzhou park. Previously, new Diwang projects were born in Taihu new town plate and Yinshan Lake plate in Wuzhong District.
Suzhou property market is also warming up. According to the statistics of Kerry, the transaction area of commercial residential buildings in Suzhou from January to April in 2019 was 2.74 million square meters, an increase of 38% over the same period in 2018. The average transaction price was 21279 yuan / m2, up 9% over the same period in 2018. From January to April in 2019, the overall situation of Suzhou real estate market transactions is' both volume and price rising 'on a year-on-year basis.
Foshan, which is located in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, is affected by the spillover of urban demand in Guangzhou and Shenzhen. It is also more prominent in this round of urban warming. For example, on March 26, after more than two hours of bidding and 171 rounds of licensing, CNOOC real estate won a plot of Beijiao new town in Foshan with a total price of 1.85 billion yuan, 30600 square meters of commercial construction and 21000 square meters of self-owned leasing. On April 22, after two hours of fierce fighting, time China seized Lishui commercial and residential land in Jinshazhou, Foshan, with 3.1 billion yuan and 71000 square meters of self support. In the fourth quarter of last year, Foshan City was still in the process of shock adjustment, and the phenomena of floor price transaction, withdrawal of license plate, postponement and auction were constantly occurring.
Central supervision and local regulation to stabilize the real estate market
Central supervision and guidance, local implementation of regulatory measures, become the biggest highlight of this round of regulation.
Taking Suzhou as an example, while the Ministry of housing and urban rural development (MOHURD) was naming, the local government also paid attention to the heating up of cities and cities, and offered two successive measures of regulation and control.
On May 11, the people's Government of Suzhou issued the "supplementary opinions of the municipal government on further promoting the sustained, stable and healthy development of the real estate market of the whole city", which announced that the sales of new houses in the whole area of Suzhou Industrial Park and some key areas of Suzhou high tech zone were limited for three years, and the sales of second-hand houses in the whole area of Suzhou Industrial Park were limited for five years. At the same time, it also adjusts the quotation rules of land transfer, and adjusts the quotation conditions of land transfer from fixed value to interval setting. On May 16, Suzhou issued a new policy to adjust the degree policy for newly purchased housing in the industrial park from five years to nine years, which means that school district resources are only allowed to be used once in the nine-year compulsory education stage, and even if children finish primary school or school district, they are not allowed to transfer the resources to others through housing sales. This makes it meaningless to speculate on school district housing.
In Zhang Dawei's view, the future real estate regulation will be dominated by the local government and guided by the central government. It is not ruled out that some urban policy adjustments will be made, but the principle that the local main responsibility requires the stability of the real estate market will remain unchanged.
Alert, the prices and land prices of these cities are also rising
Beijing News reporter found that the four cities named by the Ministry of housing and urban rural development this time are Suzhou in the East, Foshan in the south, Nanning in the West and Dalian in the north of China. It seems that the regulators have the intention of knocking on mountains and shaking tigers. In fact, in addition to Suzhou and Foshan land market performance is more prominent, Dalian and Nanning house price rise in 70 cities is not the top.
In the house price index of 70 cities in April, there were 67 cities with newly-built commercial housing prices rising on a month on month basis, and only 3 cities without rising. In March and February, there were 65 and 57. The city with the highest month on month increase was Qinhuangdao (1.8%), Chongqing and Kunming (1.2%), Xi'an (1.1%), Hangzhou, Jinan and Wuhan (1.2%).
In terms of second-hand house prices, Xining had the highest month on month rise of 2%, while the second-hand house prices in Taiyuan, Xiamen and other cities increased by 1.2% and 1.3%.
In terms of land market, the recovery of some cities is obvious, and the phenomenon of land grabbing by real estate enterprises appears, such as Hangzhou, Nanjing, Ningbo and Hefei in the Yangtze River Delta, Guangzhou and Fuzhou in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, Wuhan and Zhengzhou in the central region, Tianjin and Jinan in the northern region, etc.
Behind this, in addition to the fact that the real estate enterprises are short-term abundant in capital and actively take land to cover their positions, there is also something to do with the cooling down of the third and fourth tier market and the shift of the focus of the real estate enterprises to the second tier cities.
Since the end of 2018, the central government has repeatedly stressed the goal of stabilizing land price, house price and expectation in 2019 to promote the steady and healthy development of the real estate market. Insist that the house is for living, not for speculation.
In this policy tone, the changes of some hot spot house prices and land prices will inevitably attract attention. Zhang Dawei said that in the future, the interview and early warning of the Ministry of housing and urban rural development will still affect local real estate regulation, including the multi round and multi City real estate inspection in 2018, which will still be normalized in 2019.