On the 19th, it's a special day for everyone to enjoy the weekend leisure time, because a 900 million people's general election vote is over! In addition, according to the results of the poll, Narendra Modi, India's current prime minister, is likely to return to power, and his party, the BJP, is likely to become the largest party in Parliament. Of course, the final vote count will be announced on Thursday. How about the end of India's general election this time? Will this have any impact on China?
900 million votes in India's general election are over!
As we mentioned before, according to the schedule announced by India's Election Commission, the general election will be held in seven stages from April 11 to May 19, and the election results will be announced on Thursday!
Of course, the candidates for this election include: 1) Narendra Modi, the leader of the BJP, who is seeking re-election; 2) Rahul Gandhi, the leader of the Congress party.
As for this election, yiniu finance and economics has also mentioned before, there are four main highlights of this election in India:
1) Huge voters! There are 900 million registered voters in 20 states and regions, an increase of more than 80 million over the 2014 general election. The 900 million votes will be divided into 91 constituencies to vote in seven stages to elect the new representatives of the people's house (house of Commons).
2) The Indian election, known as the "world's largest democratic political project", has more than 450 political parties and a total of 1 million polling stations, requiring at least 10 million staff.
3) 39 days: the vote will last until May 19 and will be counted on May 23.
4) It will cost US $7 billion, or the most expensive election in the world, even more than the US 2016 election (US $6.5 billion)!
Polls show modi is likely to be re elected?
The BJP and its allies will win a majority of seats in Parliament and defeat opposition parties such as Gandhi's Congress party, according to a poll at the exit of the polling station, according to a report on Monday (20).
One of modi's strategies in this election is to talk about national security, on the contrary, to avoid economic topics!
As yiniu finance and economics has mentioned before, although modi promised a lot when he came to power in 2014, especially in terms of creative employment, at present, India is still in the background of serious agricultural disaster and widespread youth unemployment. Therefore, modi finally avoided paying attention to its economic record during this year's election campaign. On the contrary, Modi, who spoke at 142 rallies and accumulated 150000 kilometers of air mileage, focused on national security.
However, another closely watched public opinion indicator, India's informal gambling market, predicted on Friday that the BJP and its allies would win a majority.
If these predictions are confirmed when the counting results are announced on Thursday, it will be an extraordinary personal victory for Modi, highlighting his superb political skills and keeping his popularity, even though his achievements in the economic field are not satisfactory.
What is the impact on China?
As mentioned above, the final result may not be known until May 23!
So the last question: what is the impact of India's election on China?
In this regard, the British BBC wrote an article last month commenting that the relations between China and India have been sunny and rainy in the past five years under modi's leadership, while wrestling with each other in territory and diplomacy, and cooperating in economy. The Indian general election has drawn attention to whether this election will change the direction of Sino Indian relations.
India has repeatedly erupted disputes with China under modi's leadership in the past five years. There was a confrontation between the two militaries on the border in 2017, which ended before the BRICs summit in that year. On the other hand, China and India also have various cooperative relations on the international stage.
The analysis points out that when modi dealt with the relationship with China in the past, he separated economy from politics. No matter which party wins the election, this policy will be maintained. China and India are also a kind of competitive and cooperative relationship!
In response, Yuan Jindong, an expert on Sino Indian Relations at the University of Sydney in Australia, said: "we can see that the two countries still have economic cooperation, but at the same time there are also some disagreements. '
In addition, Yuan Jingdong also pointed out that some people criticized modi for spending too much time on India's foreign relations in the past five years. He believed that if modi was re elected, he would turn his attention to India's domestic affairs.
Finally, Yuan Jindong said that whether modi's Bharatiya Janata Party or the opposition Indian Parliament party wins the election, the new Indian government's China policy will not change greatly. After all, it can be seen from the way China and India have solved problems in the past that both countries do not want their quarrels to escalate into conflicts.