Sihai network

What will China look like in 30 years? Why are our children going to have no jobs

At the main venue of the green company's annual meeting yesterday, Mr. Ma also announced his new prediction of economic and social change: "the comprehensive impact of Internet technology on the economic and social development is only the beginning. In the next 30 years, the whole world will change beyond imagination. 'so what does Ma Yun predict China will look like 30 years from now? Why are our children going to have no jobs?

[back to 'Hefen']

There are too many smart people in the Internet circle. It's better to rush into the real economy by taking advantage of the Internet

At the plenary session of the green company's annual meeting yesterday, Mr. Ma answered a question from Dahe newspaper: "if you are still an entrepreneur with nothing today, and in the era of Internet development, do you still choose to be an Internet entrepreneur? '

'today, I feel like I have nothing. "Ma Yun replied that he may be regarded as a rich man, but today, he doesn't think money is very important because he has no time to spend money. He believes that spending money is a university question. Many entrepreneurs do not know how to spend their money in the future, benefit the society and influence the young people, but only do their own continuous accumulation.

If you start a business again today, will ma Yun still do Internet?

Ma Yun's answer is' no '. As he joked, "there are too many smart people in this industry, the progress of science and technology is too fast, and the competition is too cruel. Who knows what our companies will do next year and the year after that? '

As for what can be done, Ma said that in today's rapidly changing Internet technology, we should not hesitate to rush into the field of traditional real economy. The opportunity is the best and the cost is low, but the key condition is that if you know how to realize the compatibility and connection between the real economy and Internet technology, you are likely to succeed. 'in the past, people didn't believe in the Internet. I entered the Internet industry. Now everyone thinks that the Internet is very important. Now, I think offline is very good, you can practice & lsquo; a smooth river & gt;, really. '

Which industry will ma Yun choose and how to judge its entrepreneurial opportunities?

'the world is never short of opportunities. Many years ago, I was melancholy about why good opportunities were snatched by Bill Gates and Warren Buffett. 'ma Yun said frankly, is Internet technology very developed today? It lacks imagination. And the real opportunity is created by imagination.

So Ma Yun warned every entrepreneur to think clearly about what you have, what you want and what you are willing to give up. Then, he insisted on doing his own happy things according to his dream, and one day the opportunity will return to you.

On CEO

Can you see future opportunities and foresee future disasters

What capabilities should a CEO have?

'in the Internet age, they should do two things well. One is to see opportunities in the future, and the other is to see disasters in the future. 'This is Ma Yun's view.

Will 'disaster movies' be staged in the Internet era?

Ma Yun gave a positive reply. He believes that in the next 30 years, with the continuous iteration of Internet technology, it will have a strong impact on all walks of life in the society.

He cited three examples: first, just like the current manufacturing industry in Guangdong, many stations on the assembly line are replaced by more and more mechanical arms. Second, last year's hottest Google AI alphago beat South Korean chess player Li Shishi. The machine must remember the chess score better and faster than the human, and it will not be angry. What's more, machines are different from people's thinking. They don't wait for their opponents to appear. Third, last month in Hangzhou, two robbers robbed three convenience stores in one night and only got less than 2000 yuan. They don't know that beggars by the West Lake now put on a QR code printing paper.

In short, Internet technology will impact all aspects of social economy.

'Many Chinese still think that e-commerce has squeezed the industry. But in fact, only the Chinese regard the virtual economy as the antithesis of the real economy. Ma Yun said that the real economy has two weight parts: manufacturing and circulation. In the past 30 years, made in China has made great progress, but its circulation has lagged behind, resulting in overstocking and overcapacity. Chinese people's judgment of the market is still at the level of empiricism, without improvement and iteration. 'it's not the real economy, it's your real economy. Are Tesla and apple not developing well? '

Ma Yun believes that today, CEOs of Chinese enterprises should seriously consider their knowledge structure and their ability to accept new technologies and applications. The five innovations of Internet technology will certainly impact all walks of life in the next 10 to 20 years. Maybe 30 years from now, the best CEO of the year on the cover of time magazine is likely to be a robot. '

"Five new"

The technological revolution releases labor force, and the new real economy has just begun to control the "five new"

The five innovations of Internet creation defined by Ma Yun are new retail, new manufacturing, new technology, new energy and new finance.

'new retail' is a concept put forward by Ma Yun during the double 11 period of last year. Now, he once again stressed that the future retail enterprises must be an 'Online + offline + logistics + big data' collection.

'Internet companies never feel it's an honor to beat department stores, and supermarkets don't feel proud to fight back. Ma Yun believes that the essence of retail industry is not to sell more things, but to serve customers better. The reason why traditional business enterprises are impacted by Internet enterprises is that they have made a mistake in their positioning.

So, what is the basis for new manufacturing to subvert traditional manufacturing?

Ma Yun said that in the past, the manufacturing industry emphasized more standardization, scale and low cost. And this methodology will soon be overturned. Because in the Internet age, personalized, customized and intelligent goods can meet the future needs of the market. "When big data application is connected with Internet technology, reverse customization will become the mainstream, which determines that its transformative energy for manufacturing industry will far exceed that of retail industry. '

The foothold of the new finance is more simple and clear, that is inclusive finance. Ma Yun's definition of Inclusive Finance is that it is a financial instrument that can be easily used by any old lady, and give them the same rights and interests of fair service as big companies.

As for new technology and new energy, Ma Yun believes that it is the infrastructure of the new real economy in the future. At the same time, it also tests the real innovative energy of a company.

'in the next 30 years, a large number of new real economy companies will be born in China, and the "five new" will become their standard configuration. Ma Yun believes that the technological revolution will impact employment, but it will also create new jobs. For example, China's e-commerce has created tens of millions of direct and indirect employment opportunities, while the domestic retail industry has not collapsed in a large area, resulting in tens of millions of unemployment. Moreover, machines and technologies are not the opposite of human beings. They should serve and cooperate with human beings. "In the next 30 years, maybe people will only have to work three or four hours a day to do more creative and innovative thinking, and the rest will be left to robots. '

Ma Yun's three predictions for the future:

A. Human beings will turn machines into human beings to replace more manual production links, while human beings only need to work 4 hours a day;

B. Ten years later, the world will be dominated by the post-90s and post-90s. There are 5-6 billion internet users in the world;

C. In the future, only 40% of cars will be equipped with an operating system,

So there's no reason for you to turn down the Internet.

The world after 30 years does not belong to Internet companies, but to enterprises that make good use of the Internet.