Now it has begun to enter 2019, for many people who are still waiting for the house price, the most concerned question is whether the house price will fall in China? In 2019, what direction will the real estate go? Will the house price continue to fall? Although the house price has reached the highest position in history, many people are still confused about the future house price, do you think the house price will fall in the future?
Will house prices fall in the future
1. Flour is expensive, bread is naturally expensive! Although it's rare to see the "king of land", the cost of land acquisition by developers is still high, which means that developers are still optimistic about the prospect of the real estate market, so the house price may be difficult to fall, let alone plummet!
2. With the continuous improvement of material living standards, more and more buyers have higher requirements for housing, which also promotes developers to constantly improve the level of projects, such as hardbound housing, so that the house price will probably be higher, how can it plummet?
3. China is not short of people, but it is short of talents! In order to compete for talents, major cities across the country are attracting talents with housing welfare. In this talent competition, the house prices of some hot cities have been pushed up again, because the inflow of talents has increased and the demand for house purchase has increased greatly.
4. Influenced by the traditional idea of "having a house to have a home", Chinese people will fight for houses in their adulthood. Driven by the demographic dividend, house prices will inevitably stay at a high level. It's hard to fall sharply. What's more, the two child policy has been liberalized, and the demand for housing replacement has also ushered in a wave of growth.
Will house prices fall in 2019
1. The real estate cycle turns once every 20 years, and one person can encounter two real estate cycles. Why? A person's life as a group will buy a house twice. The first time is when they get married, the average age is 27. The second time they buy a house, the improvement of sexual demand is about 42 years old. The peak of a person's consumption occurs at the age of 46. After 46, the consumption of this person will go down. Your consumption will gradually change from house to medical care.
2. So the house is roughly consumed twice in its life, about once every 20 years. The real estate cycle is a 20-year cycle. China's real estate cycle starts in 99 years. According to the law of real estate cycle, it is divided into three waves. The first wave is from 00 to 07. After 2009, it will rise again. In 13 years and 14 years, it will rise in three waves. As a national high point of real estate cycle, it is judged in the report that in 2014, this is the high point of China's real estate cycle, and the price will come down later.
3. But by the time of 15 years, we suddenly found that the house was easy to sell again. In 16 years, the real estate in the core area of the first tier cities had skyrocketed, but this was not a real estate restart, but a green wave. It is a bull market that houses in the third and fourth tier cities can rise. Garbage stocks do not rise. A small poke is not a bull market. This is the blue wave rebound of the real estate cycle.
The above is the future housing price will fall? Will the housing price fall in 2019? I believe you have a certain understanding of the future housing price or the housing price in 2019. We should always adhere to the concept that the house is used for living, not for speculation. So whether the housing price rises or falls depends on whether it is just needed, and whether it should be bought, but to buy Before buying