recently, the news that the subsidy for new energy vehicles will further decline in 2019 spread widely. Affected by multiple factors such as the slowdown of economic growth, the overall sales volume of China's automobiles this year witnessed the first negative growth in 28 years. However, despite the weak sales of traditional fuel vehicles, the production and sales volume of new energy vehicles continued to grow steadily. What new policies will be subsidized for new energy vehicles in 2018? Get to know about the subsidy of new energy vehicles in Hebei region.
Subsidy will decline by 40% next year
According to the statistics of China Automobile Industry Association, the output of domestic new energy vehicles from January to November this year was 1.0535 million, an increase of 63.6% year on year; the cumulative sales volume in the first 11 months was 1.0298 million, an increase of 68% year on year. "The rapid growth of production and sales of new energy vehicles is the biggest highlight of the current car market. "Said Cui Dongshu, Secretary General of the national passenger vehicle market information joint meeting.
For this year's remarkable growth of new energy vehicle sales, some industry insiders pointed out that the first is driven by the national environmental protection policy; the second is the stimulation of subsidy policy, purchase tax free measures; and the requirements of purchase and traffic restrictions in some cities.
In 2015, the Ministry of Finance and other four ministries and commissions issued the notice on the financial support policies for the promotion and application of new energy vehicles in 2016-2020. According to the notice, the subsidy standard for other vehicle types except fuel cell vehicles will decline properly in 2017-2020, among which, the subsidy standard for 2017-2018 will decrease by 20% on the basis of 2016, and the subsidy standard for 2019-2020 will decrease by 40% on the basis of 2016.
Although the detailed rules for the new energy subsidy policy in 2019 have not yet been issued, many insiders predict that next year's subsidy decline will continue to increase on the basis of 20% in 2017-2018, or 30% - 40%, and local subsidies will be cancelled. By 2020, the new energy subsidy policy for passenger vehicles will be terminated.
Not long ago, a widely circulated document in the market showed that the subsidy will decline by 40% in 2019, and there will be no transition period, which will be implemented from January 1, 2019. Prince, the former director of the National 863 electric vehicle major special power battery test center, said recently that the new energy vehicle subsidy policy is expected to be introduced in January 2019. However, the above information has not been officially confirmed.
Dealers of new energy vehicles calm down
During the countdown period of subsidy decline of new energy vehicles, reports on "hot sales of new energy vehicles on the eve of subsidy decline" began to appear in the market.
In response, Zhongxin Jingwei client visited several new energy vehicle stores in Beijing, and found that some 4S stores played "countdown cards" on the large screen, reminding consumers of the decline of subsidies that will come on January 1 next year. However, there are only a few exhibition vehicles in the showroom where salespeople and customers come and go, and the car delivery area has not seen the car owners pick up.
Among them, Chery 4S shop indicated that from January 1, 2019, the state will make a retrogressive adjustment to the new energy subsidy policy, and it is expected that the sales price of single car will be increased by 15000 yuan.
Zhongxin Jingwei client found that, unlike traditional fuel vehicles, new energy vehicles in several stores basically have no preferential treatment except subsidies. Nevertheless, some consumers in Beijing who have already obtained the vehicle purchase index but still haven't purchased the vehicle still want to catch up with the policy that subsidies may further decline in 2019.
'orders in December did increase from November, but they did not surge. "A sales manager of Chang'an new energy 4S store told Zhongxin Jingwei client that at present, there are basically no existing cars for several new energy models sold in the store, but there is no phenomenon that the price is increased and the car is picked up first. In order to ensure that the vehicle can be delivered to the users who have placed an order before the end of the month without affecting the customers' enjoyment of the subsidy in 2018, Yidong new energy vehicle has stopped receiving the order after the 15th of this month.
As for the reason why the sales volume didn't surge before the end of December subsidy decline, the marketing manager of a dealer of GAC new energy explained that in terms of Beijing, 54000 new energy personal car purchase indicators have been issued on February 26 this year, and consumers have enough time to purchase vehicles, and most people should not choose to purchase vehicles centrally before the end of the year.
'in any case, in order to enjoy the subsidy in 2018, the licensing must be conducted before the end of the month, and the subsidy standard is determined according to the licensing time. 'the sales growth this month is not particularly significant, said the marketing manager. Although there are no existing cars in the store at present, the orders can basically be delivered in a week or so. 'it is said that the subsidy will be reduced by 30% - 40% next year, but in fact, no one knows whether it is true or not. 'he added.
What about new energy vehicles in the post subsidy era?
According to the above sales manager, since the subsidy policy for new energy vehicles has not been issued in 2019, although the industry is saying that the subsidy will decline, it is still uncertain how the decline will be and how much impact it will have on the company. "However, I don't think it will have a great impact on the model with a price of less than 100000 yuan. '
However, in the view of industry insiders, most of the current growth of new energy vehicles is due to policy support. When the preferential policies are reduced, what will be the sales trend of new energy vehicles?
'2018 is the energy conversion year of new energy vehicles. "According to Cui Dongshu, from the perspective of changes in subsidy policies and sales performance of new energy vehicles, this year is a transition year in which the growth power of new energy vehicles changes from purchase restriction and subsidy policies to market driven.
Another insider said that, in terms of the current consumer acceptance of new energy vehicles, although the new energy subsidies will be significantly reduced in 2019, it will not affect the growth trend of domestic new energy vehicles. The head of Guoxin center also said that it is very optimistic about the development of new energy vehicle market next year. "With the gradual decline of subsidies for new energy vehicles, both the strategic planning of vehicle enterprises and consumers' consumption concept of new energy vehicles tend to mature. '
According to the survey data, the current market anxiety about new energy vehicles is mainly 'mileage anxiety'. Inconvenient charging, short endurance mileage and high battery replacement cost are the main reasons why consumers refuse to consider new energy vehicles. In this regard, some insiders said to the client of China new energy Jingwei that enterprises should work hard on battery technology to solve the problem of long charging and short driving of new energy vehicles.
Relevant principals of Nanjing Jinlong also pointed out that new energy vehicle enterprises have gradually adapted to the pace of policy after the transition of ladder like policy in recent two years, such as the decline of subsidies and the gradual improvement of battery technology threshold. 'now the new energy vehicle enterprises are not concerned about how much policy subsidies are, but whether the products and technologies produced by the enterprises can stand out in the market competition. '