Since the concept of robot appeared in science fiction for the first time & hellip; & hellip; or even earlier, since the industrial revolution broke out, the day when the mass production of machines began to create profits for businesses, human beings began to have endless anxiety.
Now, with the development of artificial intelligence, human anxiety and fear are replaced by robots instead of being killed by robots.
"You're not going to work tomorrow. "The boss looked back at the robot behind him with a satisfied smile.
Then you're fired. It's a machine that grabs the job.
Is this really going to happen?
The possibilities are great.
According to the data developed by major institutions, a considerable part of the labor force will gradually be replaced by robots.
Let's take a look at the data released jointly by researchers from Oxford University and the Bureau of Labor Statistics - that human beings will lose more than 55% of their jobs.
The researchers even warned that millions of American workers would be replaced by robots by 2035.
What's more, based on the data system of Michael Osborne and Carl Frey, researchers from Cambridge University, the BBC analyzed the "elimination probability" of 365 occupations in the future.
Although they only analyze the prospects of these occupations in the UK, they are only based on local data. But from these probabilities, we can draw two basic conclusions:
If your job includes the following three skill requirements, you are very unlikely to be replaced by a robot:
Social ability, negotiation ability, and the art of human feelings;
Compassion, and sincere support and concern for others;
Creativity and aesthetics.
If your work meets the following characteristics, you are very likely to be replaced by robots:
Skills that can be mastered through training without talent;
A large number of repetitive work, no need to go to work every day brain, but hand familiar;
The working space is narrow, sitting in the lattice, not listening to the world.
Specific to all walks of life, the labor force elimination rate is as follows. Check your industry's "sorrow is not tragedy":
Telemarketer
99%
Of the more than 300 occupations counted by the BBC, telemarketers are the most likely to be replaced by robots, close to 100%. Even if there is no robot, such a monotonous, repetitive, annoying and inefficient type of work will die out sooner or later.
typist
98.5%
In the age when computers were not popular, typists used to be a very good job. Nowadays, shorthand is the only profession that can survive with the skill of typing, but it is conceivable that when speech recognition technology becomes popular, shorthand is not necessary.
accounting
97.6%
Different from the skill base and the declining telemarketing and typing, accounting is not a low demand, and its career prospects are also favored by the mainstream of society. It is surprising that 97.6% of the jobs are replaced by robots. However, the essence of accounting work is information collection and collation. There are strict logic requirements in it, which naturally require 100% accuracy. From the result, the advantage of machine intelligent operation is indeed obvious.
In fact, just this year, Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers and Ernst & young, the four largest accounting firms in the world, have successively launched financial intelligent robot solutions, which has caused considerable shock to the industry.
Insurance salesman
97%
Another industry that has begun to move towards artificial intelligence is insurance. Last year, a number of insurance companies, including Ping An insurance, Taikang online, Pacific Insurance, Hongkang life, Anbang life, Fude life and so on, have introduced intelligent technology into the company's business, which is currently mainly used in the after-sales field. However, the industry predicts that in the near future, artificial intelligence will replace sales personnel and become an intelligent personal insurance housekeeper.
It is worth mentioning that in January this year, Japan's Wells Fargo life insurance replaced 34 human employees with IBM's artificial intelligence platform Watson explorer to perform insurance claim analysis. These 34 human insurance salesmen have become the pioneers of the generation of "robots rob my job".
Bank clerk
96.8%
In addition to being monotonous and repetitive, 'inefficiency' is also a major factor in the displacement of certain occupations, such as bank employees, by automation.
In fact, modern people are quite used to queuing up. There's no need to queue up in subway, register, milk tea, and Bao Shifu. Even so, the long queue in bank business is enough to defeat the bottom line of a civilized person's patience. Although the so-called "bank robot" appearing in the market still focuses on selling cute in practical functions, it can be predicted that bank employees will be replaced by robots in the face of practical needs.
Government staff
96.8%
The BBC's researchers here refer to the staff of the government's lower level functions. If you have seen British sitcoms like "yes! Prime Minister", you will know that in this country, redundant and incompetent executives have always been the troublemakers and laughingstock of the people.
In a survey conducted in the country at the beginning of this year, 1 / 4 of the respondents believed that robots had better political ability than humans; 66% believed that by 2037, robots would be employed in the government; 16% believed that in the next one to two years, robots would be employed as government officials.
operator
96.5%
As early as ten years ago, Microsoft developed an intelligent voice system with switchboard operator function. In recent years, with the development of artificial intelligence, most of the work of human operator can be completed automatically.
Reception
95.6%
In the past two years, the robot front desk has been on the news headlines for many times. The highest topic is pepper developed by Softbank of Japan. At present, hospitals, banks, electrical stores and other institutions in Japan, Europe and the United States have purchased pepper as a receptionist.
Customer service
91%
Siri has been born for so many years, artificial intelligence has been able to replace artificial customer service in technology, and the rest is the problem of popularization. In the past two years, this kind of AI customer service platform has gradually become a hot entrepreneurial project in the Internet industry, and the accuracy rate of some products is said to have reached 97%.
Personnel matters
89.7%
In the future, not only the employees themselves, but also the HR responsible for recruiting and dismissing employees may be replaced by robots. Through machine learning, natural language processing, chat robot and other artificial intelligence technologies, mechanical HR can complete many basic skills required by human resource managers.
In March, a machine called 'brilliant' screened out the right candidates in an annual industry competition held by sourcecon, a leading North American search firm. In addition, a one-stop self-service office service called "IHR human robot" developed by domestic manufacturers has also gained a lot of media exposure, and its most basic function is to issue all kinds of self-help printing of supporting documents.
Security staff
89.3%
The most unexplained piece of news about AI came in July when a security robot in the Washington Harbor Development Zone in Georgetown drowned and committed suicide. The official explanation is that the robot system is malfunctioning, but it still arouses a lot of panic on social networks.
The "suicide" security robot is a K5 robot developed by knightscope, a silicon valley public. It has many functions such as GPS, laser scanning and thermal sensing, as well as a surveillance camera, sensor, odor detector and thermal imaging system. Since its birth, it has been very popular in large business areas in the United States.
Real estate agent
86%
At this stage, no matter the house is sold or leased, it can't be separated from the real estate agent, which is what we often call the little brother who sells the house, and they also take this opportunity to collect commissions. But in recent years, some real estate agencies in the United States have begun to use robots, big data and artificial intelligence algorithms to complete transactions. With the gradual improvement of AI technology in this field, once this mode is accepted by the mainstream industry, people find that bypassing the intermediary can save a lot of commission, and the prospect of this profession is in danger.
Workers, as well as bricklayers, gardeners, cleaners, drivers, carpenters, plumbers, etc
80%-60%
The vast majority of jobs from the primary and secondary industries are classified as high-risk jobs by BBC researchers, and these are also the first threats many people think of when they refer to "robot threat theory".
In fact, from the beginning of the first industrial revolution, the threat of mass production of machinery to the life plan of the bottom workers has been the enduring menstrual stickers. In Britain in the second half of the 19th century, there were many riots against the industrial revolution among the textile workers. They smashed the looms to vent their anger at losing their jobs, which was known as "Luddite movement".
Four years ago, a modern version of the "Lude movement" broke out in Taiwan Province. In that year, the "expressway bureau" planned to replace nearly 1000 toll collectors with etc automatic toll collection system by the end of the year, which aroused the protest of toll collectors. In the process, a 40-year-old employee at the Zhutian toll station committed suicide by burning charcoal in his car.
cook
73.4%
To be sure, the BBC forecasts the risk of 'chef' as 73.4%, 80% of which does not include Chinese cooks. Although mechanical chefs such as pizza robots, coffee robots and yoghurt robots have come out at present, even the most intelligent robots will die when they see 'salt / a little' MSG / a little 'on the Chinese menu.
IT Engineer
58.3%
Ironically, experts predict that AI will pose a threat to it departments of many companies. It will replace many routine business in IT department, among which system management, service desk, project management and application support are the most likely to be affected.
librarian
51.9%
I believe that many literary and art youth have the dream of becoming a 'Librarian' when they are young and ignorant. But even today, they will understand that Borges's era has long passed. This job is still for barcode and artificial intelligence.
Photographer
50.3%
What's more surprising is that photographers, who rely on subjective aesthetics, are judged to have more than 50% chance of being replaced by robots. In the evaluation of experts, image aesthetics, unlike other arts, can be quantified and digitized. And Google does launch an experimental in-depth learning system, which will imitate professional photographers to start work, browse landscape maps from Google Street View, analyze the best composition, and then carry out various post-processing, so as to create a pleasant image.
Actors, artists
37.4%
Of all the common types of art creation, actors are judged to be the most easily replaced by machine automation, with a probability of 37.4%. But how do you say that? Forget it