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What's the reason for the oil price to rise again? April 26, 2018: why does the oil price rise three

Affected by the rise of international oil prices, domestic refined oil products will rise three times in a row. Starting on Thursday, a new round of price adjustment will be the highest increase this year. If you need to refuel, remember to refuel in advance.

April 23 is the seventh working day of this round of pricing cycle for gasoline and diesel. The crude oil change rate measured by Zhuo Chuang information, a commodity analysis agency, is 5.1%. It is expected that the corresponding gasoline and diesel prices will be increased by 205 yuan / ton.

According to the data monitored by jinlianchuang, as of April 20, the average price of the reference crude oil varieties was US $69.43/barrel, and the crude oil change rate was 4.99%, corresponding to an increase of about 200 yuan / ton in the price of gasoline and diesel. Li Yang, an oil product analyst at the agency, said: 'in view of the high range volatility of international crude oil in the later period, there is no suspense about the fifth domestic retail price increase, and the increase is expected to reach a new high within the year. '

According to the monitoring data of Longzhong information on April 20, the measured comprehensive change rate of crude oil is 5.73%, and the corresponding increase is expected to be 190 yuan / ton.

Since 2018, domestic refined oil has gone through seven price adjustment cycles, showing "four rises, two falls and one grounding". Before that, the retail price limit of domestic gasoline and diesel has been rising for two consecutive rounds, with the cumulative increase of 225 yuan / ton for gasoline. On January 12, domestic gasoline and diesel prices were increased by 180 yuan / ton and 175 yuan / ton respectively, the highest in the current year.

Oil price of finished products will rise

This round of adjustment window for retail price limit of domestic refined oil is in the "May 1st" holiday. After the implementation of this increase in retail price limit of refined oil, consumers' oil consumption cost will increase. According to the current estimated price, after the price limit is raised this time, it will cost 8 yuan more to fill up a 50L tank than before.

In this pricing cycle, the air attacks on Syria by the United States, Britain and other countries have increased market risk aversion. The data of OPEC production restriction is striking. In addition, the unexpected decline of U.S. crude oil inventory has eased the imbalance between supply and demand in the market. The favorable factors come one after another. Last week, the international oil price has risen by more than 4%.

By the end of April 23, Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures rose 0.13% to $68.38/barrel on the due date of delivery in May, continuing the previous performance of the largest weekly increase in about nine months; Brent crude oil futures rose 0.38% to $74.06/barrel in June, recovering the $74 level and reaching a closing high in more than three years.

'as the pricing cycle of this round has been more than half, this round of domestic refined oil retail price limit increase has become irreversible. "Said Meng Peng.

According to the relevant domestic regulations, at 24:00 on April 26, that is, at 24:00 on Thursday, the domestic oil price will open the price adjustment window. From the current situation, it is a high probability that the oil price will rise sharply. For the majority of car owners, in addition to complaining, the best way is to top up the fuel before the price rise, which can save a little bit, right?