What occupations will AI replace in the next 10 years?
4hw.org: in recent two years, artificial intelligence has been mentioned more and more by people, especially in the world go champion Ke Jie who has been abused by alpha dog. There is even a fable on the Internet that in the next 10 years, 50% of human work will be replaced by artificial intelligence. A large number of people are facing unemployment. Where will human go?
"AI will explode rapidly, and 50% of human work will be replaced by AI in ten years. "In April this year, Li Kaifu, chairman of the Innovation workshop, said in an interview with the media that AI will penetrate into every industry and every job. It will change, subvert and replace 50% of the people in ten years. It will change all the ways we do things, faster and more influential than the Internet.
The results of a new study echo Lee's judgment.
Robots will replace millions of human jobs in the next 50 years, including truck drivers and best-selling authors, according to a new study by researchers from Oxford University and Yale University, business insider reported Tuesday.
The team surveyed 352 artificial intelligence (AI) researchers and found that the most likely task to be automated in the next 10 years is mechanical tasks. For example, it is expected that by 2024, robots will surpass humans in language translation; by 2026, robots will be able to write better senior high school papers than humans.
For more complex and creative tasks, such as writing books and performing advanced mathematical operations, it will take longer. Finally, researchers found that by 2061, artificial intelligence will be able to complete all human tasks, and will replace all human positions by 2136.
The following is the schedule for robots to complete human tasks:
2018: beat humans when playing angry birds;
2019: win the World Poker competition;
2021: folding laundry;
2022: transcribe voice;
2023: assemble any Lego building blocks;
2024: defeat yadali game testers in all games;
2025: reading the text;
2026: writing high school thesis;
2027: driving trucks;
2028: generate top 40 pop songs;
2029: win the fastest human race in the 5000 meter race;
2033: translation of a new language with Rosetta stone;
2036: become a retail salesman;
2049: writing New York Times bestseller;
2057: Surgery;
2060: studying mathematics;
2061: complete all human tasks.
With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, some jobs are bound to be eliminated. So, what should these people do?
"A good direction is actually to choose what the machine can't do. According to Li Kaifu, for those over 50 years old, they can transform to high-end service work, while for young people, they must start from education and educate their children to do their favorite things; do things with depth, especially art, so that machines can't be replaced; do things with combination of human and machine, and apply new technology and AI to things they do.
Li Kaifu, for example, said that if a reporter spent three days interviewing ten people and wrote a very deep article, it would not be replaced, and the machine would not be able to do it; but if it was just the work of assembling on the Internet, it would be replaced immediately.
'we have not come to the world to do boring and repetitive things. With the advent of the era of artificial intelligence, human beings will not do these things in the future. "He believes that after AI replaces boring and repetitive work, in the future, humans can allocate more time to their families and friends, and have more time to think about why humans exist. On the one hand, there are reflections on the religious philosophy of life and on the development of science and technology. In Li Kaifu's view, although they are opposite, they have something in common.