Comparison of sales price changes of new commercial housing in 15 hot cities.
The price of new houses in first tier cities is lower than that of the same period last year
The real estate market in the first month of 2018 is still stable. In January, the price index of new houses in 70 cities increased by 0.3% on a month on month basis and 5.4% on a year-on-year basis.
According to Yan Yuejin,
The magnitude of the change shows that the market regulation effect is emerging, and the housing bubble is constantly being eliminated. Similar trend is expected to continue in the first quarter. The positive growth trend shows that the property market has not entered the price range as a whole.
Under the continuous effect of the real estate market regulation and control policies, the sales price of new commercial housing in 15 hot cities remained stable.
From a month on month perspective, the sales price of new commercial residential buildings in seven cities, including Nanjing and Hefei, dropped by 0.1 to 0.4 percentage points. From a year-on-year perspective, the sales price of new commercial housing in 11 cities including Beijing and Tianjin dropped by 0.1 to 3.4 percentage points, which was lower than the same period last year.
In addition, in addition to Guangzhou, the sales prices of newly-built commercial residential buildings in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen changed from rising to falling year on year.
'in the past 31 months, the price of housing in the first tier cities has maintained a positive growth on a year-on-year basis, but now there is a negative growth for the first time, which is of great signal significance. Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of E-House Research Institute, told cnxin.com that the data showed that the housing prices in some first tier cities had fallen below the level at the beginning of 2017, and there was such a possibility in some second tier and third tier cities in the future.
Before the Spring Festival, the third and fourth tier real estate market is slightly warming up
In terms of cities, there are 13 cities in which the price of new houses in 70 cities has been reduced on a month-on-month basis, 5 are flat, 52 are up, and the number of rising cities has decreased. To a large extent, it also shows that the price control of various cities in January is active and effective.
In the view of Zhang Bo, chief analyst of anjuke, the current polarization of the real estate market is more obvious.
'the volume of first tier cities represented by Beijing and Shanghai continued to decline, while the volume of third and fourth tier cities increased. "Affected by home property, the search heat of new houses and second-hand houses in the third and fourth tier cities rose by 2.2% month on month in January, which is expected to continue to drive the polarization of the property market in February," Zhang said.
According to the National Bureau of statistics,
While the sales price of new houses in the first tier cities fell on a month on month basis, the price of houses in the second and third tier cities continued to rise, but the increase dropped.
The price of new houses in the first tier cities decreased from the same level last month; the price of new houses in the second tier cities decreased by 0.3 percentage points on a month on month basis; the price of new houses in the third tier cities decreased by 0.1 percentage points on a month on month basis.
At the same time, the regulation of the real estate market has not stopped. According to the statistics of Zhongyuan Real Estate Research Center, up to now, more than 40 cities and departments have issued relevant real estate regulation policies in 2018, with more than 50 policy contents.
Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real estate, said,
2018 will be the key year for the establishment of the long-term mechanism of real estate. On the basis of regulation and control in 2017, to establish a long-term mechanism for the steady and healthy development of real estate, the key is to deal with the coordination between housing consumption and investment, real estate and economic growth.