Sihai network

The probability of cold winter this winter is zero. It's not too cold this winter

The probability of cold winter this winter is zero. It's not too cold this winter

This afternoon (November 5), the China Meteorological Administration held a press conference. Ye dianxiu, chief of the climate service office of the National Climate Center, said that according to the consultation prediction results, the probability that China will have a cold winter this winter is almost zero.

Ye dianxiu said that from the forecast, the winter temperature in most parts of China this year is close to or higher than that of the whole year, and the probability of cold winter is almost zero, but it does not rule out the fluctuation of temperature during the period.

It is expected that in the winter of 2019-2020, the general atmospheric circulation in the middle and high latitudes in Europe and Asia will be dominated by zonal circulation. The East Asian winter monsoon is weaker than that in the same period of the year, and the East Asian trough is weaker and easterly, which means that the cold air affecting China is weak, and the probability of static weather in northern China is high, which is not conducive to the diffusion of pollutants.

From the analysis, the temperature in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and surrounding areas is 0.5 ℃ to 1 ℃ higher than that in the same period of the year, and the temperature in Fenwei plain is close to that in the same period of the year. In winter, the air pollution diffusion conditions in Beijing Tianjin Hebei and its surrounding areas and Fenwei plain are generally poor, which is close to the winter of 2018-2019 and slightly better than that in 2017-2018.