Bachelor tide strikes, unmarried men are up to 40 million more than unmarried women
4hw.com.cn: there was a data survey before. In 2020, China's single people far exceeded the total population of Australia, up to 40 million, and the wave of looking sticks has hit. Let's have a look.
The judgment of the future population situation of the mainland is more based on the prediction of the United Nations, but the prediction of the United Nations considers less structure and details, and the disclosure of the prediction results is relatively limited.
Trend 1. After the fastest 10 years, the total population will now grow negatively
The proportion of population in the world will gradually decline, and the population of India is expected to surpass that of China in 2024.
Trend 2. The number of middle-aged and young people has accelerated, exceeding 10 million a year at the peak
In the next five years, the working age population will decrease by more than 3 million per year, and the average annual reduction will exceed 10 million from 2028 to 2039.
Trend 3: the impact of the second child has passed, and the number of newborn babies will fall below 13 million
It is estimated that the number of new births in 2019 will drop to about 14 million, with a high probability of falling below 13 million within five years.
Trend IV. it will enter into deep aging in two years, and close to Japan in 2050
Or reach Japan's current level in 2037, and will be close to Japan's aging level by 2050.
Trend 5: the marriage rate continues to decline, and the number of "singles" increases
In 2015, there were 40 million more unmarried men over the age of 15 than unmarried women. The generation with the most serious gender imbalance at birth has not entered the marriage market in large quantities, and the marriage rate will further decline in the future.
Li Xunlei pointed out that challenges and opportunities coexist, and response measures are urgent. "Changes in long-term population trends will continue to put pressure on China's economic growth, and some economic and social problems it may bring urgently need our policy preparation and reflection."
He said that behind the challenges, however, there will also be some structural opportunities. For example, the aging will increase the demand for pension, medical and other related industries, and the "Bachelor tide" will give birth to the demand for the "single economy".